Japan vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
40.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1984 |
KOR
1 - 2
JPN
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1983 |
JPN
1 - 0
SYR
63%
19%
18%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1983 |
JPN
1 - 1
KOR
29%
25%
46%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1983 |
QAT
1 - 0
JPN
41%
23%
36%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1983 |
SYR
2 - 2
JPN
49%
22%
29%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1985 |
BRA
2 - 0
URU
79%
15%
6%
|
87 | 95 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
COL
2 - 1
URU
31%
31%
39%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1985 |
PER
2 - 1
URU
36%
30%
34%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1985 |
URU
2 - 1
CHI
63%
23%
14%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
ECU
0 - 2
URU
25%
26%
49%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |