Japan vs USSR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
29%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
46.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.2%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 1978 |
THA
0 - 4
JPN
43%
27%
31%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1978 |
SGP
2 - 1
JPN
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 1978 |
MAS
4 - 1
JPN
69%
17%
14%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 1978 |
KOR
4 - 0
JPN
71%
18%
12%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 1978 |
SRB
2 - 3
JPN
63%
19%
18%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
HUN
2 - 0
SUN
62%
22%
16%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1978 |
TUR
0 - 2
SUN
25%
30%
45%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
SUN
2 - 0
GRC
81%
14%
5%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1978 |
IRN
0 - 1
SUN
24%
27%
49%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
ROU
0 - 1
SUN
46%
27%
27%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |