Japan vs Turkey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2002 |
TUN
0 - 2
JPN
17%
23%
60%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2002 |
JPN
1 - 0
RUS
40%
25%
35%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2002 |
JPN
2 - 2
BEL
25%
23%
52%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2002 |
JPN
1 - 1
SWE
36%
27%
37%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2002 |
NOR
3 - 0
JPN
56%
24%
20%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2002 |
TUR
3 - 0
CHN
60%
21%
19%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2002 |
CRC
1 - 1
TUR
54%
23%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2002 |
BRA
2 - 1
TUR
94%
5%
1%
|
87 | 99 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2002 |
RSA
2 - 0
TUR
37%
28%
34%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
TUR
2 - 0
CHI
47%
25%
28%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |