Japan vs South Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
34.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
JPN
1 - 0
HKG
89%
8%
2%
|
90 | 55 | 35 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2003 |
JPN
2 - 0
CHN
70%
18%
12%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
JPN
0 - 0
CMR
60%
23%
18%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
ROU
1 - 1
JPN
60%
22%
18%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
TUN
0 - 1
JPN
31%
27%
42%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
KOR
1 - 0
CHN
69%
19%
13%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2003 |
HKG
1 - 3
KOR
2%
10%
88%
|
90 | 55 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2003 |
KOR
0 - 1
BGR
51%
26%
23%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2003 |
KOR
7 - 0
NPL
90%
8%
2%
|
90 | 40 | 50 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2003 |
OMA
3 - 1
KOR
8%
15%
77%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |