Japan vs South Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
31.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1998 |
AUS
0 - 3
JPN
51%
26%
23%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1997 |
IRN
2 - 3
JPN
46%
27%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1997 |
JPN
5 - 1
KAZ
86%
9%
5%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1997 |
KOR
0 - 2
JPN
58%
24%
19%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1997 |
JPN
1 - 1
UAE
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1998 |
AUS
1 - 0
KOR
37%
27%
36%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1998 |
NZL
0 - 1
KOR
19%
24%
57%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1998 |
KOR
5 - 4
EGY
63%
23%
15%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1998 |
THA
0 - 2
KOR
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1998 |
EGY
0 - 2
KOR
32%
26%
43%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | +1 |