Japan vs South Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
57.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1992 |
JPN
4 - 1
PRK
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1992 |
CHN
0 - 2
JPN
78%
14%
8%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 1992 |
JPN
0 - 0
KOR
16%
22%
62%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1992 |
JPN
0 - 1
WAL
24%
26%
50%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1992 |
JPN
0 - 1
ARG
17%
27%
57%
|
65 | 91 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1992 |
CHN
0 - 2
KOR
35%
28%
37%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1992 |
PRK
1 - 1
KOR
24%
25%
51%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1992 |
JPN
0 - 0
KOR
16%
22%
62%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1991 |
JPN
0 - 1
KOR
17%
22%
61%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1991 |
KOR
2 - 0
EGY
55%
27%
18%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |