Japan vs South Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
48.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1988 |
JPN
0 - 3
CHN
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1988 |
OMA
1 - 1
JPN
17%
24%
59%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1988 |
UAE
2 - 0
JPN
52%
23%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1988 |
UAE
1 - 1
JPN
52%
22%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1987 |
JPN
2 - 2
SEN
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1988 |
KOR
1 - 2
ARG
32%
28%
40%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1988 |
KOR
0 - 0
USA
70%
20%
10%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1988 |
KOR
0 - 0
SUN
27%
30%
43%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 1988 |
KOR
4 - 0
ZAM
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1987 |
KOR
1 - 1
AUS
54%
26%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |