Japan vs South Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
38.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1976 |
PHL
0 - 3
JPN
31%
22%
48%
|
68 | 37 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
JPN
3 - 0
PHL
80%
11%
8%
|
68 | 37 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
JPN
0 - 3
BGR
36%
25%
40%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1976 |
JPN
1 - 1
BGR
34%
25%
41%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
JPN
1 - 3
BGR
36%
25%
40%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
KOR
1 - 0
MMR
60%
22%
19%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1976 |
KOR
4 - 0
MAS
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1975 |
KOR
5 - 0
SGP
75%
16%
10%
|
77 | 44 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1975 |
KOR
2 - 0
IDN
65%
19%
16%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1975 |
THA
2 - 1
KOR
27%
24%
49%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | -1 |