Japan vs South Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
20.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1974 |
ISR
3 - 0
JPN
67%
18%
15%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1974 |
MAS
1 - 1
JPN
52%
22%
26%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1974 |
JPN
4 - 0
PHL
81%
11%
8%
|
70 | 38 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1974 |
ROU
4 - 1
JPN
69%
18%
14%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1974 |
HKG
0 - 0
JPN
36%
22%
42%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1974 |
MAS
3 - 2
KOR
50%
24%
27%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1974 |
IRN
2 - 0
KOR
62%
19%
19%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1974 |
IRQ
1 - 1
KOR
48%
23%
29%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1974 |
KWT
4 - 0
KOR
46%
23%
32%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1974 |
KOR
1 - 0
THA
65%
20%
16%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | 0 |