Japan vs South Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
18.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 1972 |
MAS
3 - 1
JPN
30%
22%
48%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1972 |
PHL
1 - 5
JPN
31%
21%
48%
|
74 | 42 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1972 |
LKA
0 - 5
JPN
28%
21%
51%
|
74 | 33 | 41 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1971 |
KOR
2 - 1
JPN
44%
23%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
JPN
5 - 1
TWN
80%
12%
8%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 1972 |
THA
0 - 2
KOR
29%
26%
45%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1972 |
IDN
5 - 2
KOR
54%
22%
24%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 1972 |
KOR
2 - 1
MMR
44%
26%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1972 |
KOR
1 - 1
PHL
65%
18%
17%
|
74 | 41 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1972 |
KOR
2 - 0
KHM
71%
17%
12%
|
74 | 43 | 31 | 0 |