Japan vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
39.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1996 |
AUS
3 - 0
JPN
54%
26%
20%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1996 |
AUS
1 - 4
JPN
56%
26%
18%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1995 |
JPN
2 - 1
KSA
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1995 |
JPN
2 - 1
KSA
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1995 |
JPN
1 - 2
PAR
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1995 |
AZE
0 - 0
POL
15%
22%
63%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1995 |
SVK
4 - 1
POL
23%
25%
52%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1995 |
POL
0 - 0
ROU
47%
26%
27%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1995 |
FRA
1 - 1
POL
67%
20%
13%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1995 |
BRA
2 - 1
POL
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 97 | 9 | 0 |