Japan vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
17.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1994 |
JPN
2 - 3
KOR
32%
28%
41%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1994 |
JPN
5 - 0
MMR
78%
14%
8%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1994 |
JPN
1 - 1
QAT
70%
18%
12%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1994 |
JPN
1 - 1
UAE
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1994 |
JPN
0 - 0
AUS
42%
29%
29%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1994 |
ENG
1 - 0
NGA
79%
16%
5%
|
80 | 94 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1994 |
NGA
1 - 2
ITA
26%
30%
44%
|
80 | 95 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1994 |
GRC
0 - 2
NGA
61%
24%
15%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1994 |
ARG
2 - 1
NGA
76%
17%
7%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1994 |
NGA
3 - 0
BGR
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |