Japan vs Malaysia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.6%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
6.2%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2003 |
JPN
0 - 0
KOR
42%
24%
35%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
JPN
1 - 0
HKG
89%
8%
2%
|
90 | 55 | 35 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2003 |
JPN
2 - 0
CHN
70%
18%
12%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
JPN
0 - 0
CMR
60%
23%
18%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
ROU
1 - 1
JPN
60%
22%
18%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Malaysia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2003 |
MAS
1 - 2
MMR
65%
19%
16%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2003 |
BHR
3 - 1
MAS
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2003 |
MAS
1 - 5
IRQ
8%
16%
76%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
MAS
2 - 2
BHR
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
MAS
0 - 0
IRQ
7%
15%
77%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | 0 |