Japan vs Malaysia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
8.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1970 |
TJK
2 - 3
JPN
30%
21%
49%
|
74 | 44 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1970 |
SGP
0 - 4
JPN
34%
21%
45%
|
74 | 41 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1970 |
JPN
4 - 3
IDN
59%
19%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1970 |
THA
0 - 0
JPN
31%
22%
47%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1970 |
KOR
1 - 1
JPN
42%
23%
35%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Malaysia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1970 |
MAS
3 - 1
IDN
32%
21%
47%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1970 |
KOR
2 - 0
MAS
67%
19%
15%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1970 |
MAS
2 - 1
VIE
52%
23%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1970 |
IDN
3 - 0
MAS
73%
15%
13%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1970 |
KHM
1 - 1
MAS
24%
24%
53%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |