Japan vs Kazakhstan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.8%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
7.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.8%
4-0
12%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.9%
3-0
15.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
7.9%
2.3%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2004 |
JPN
0 - 3
GER
33%
27%
40%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
JPN
1 - 0
SGP
80%
14%
6%
|
91 | 57 | 34 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
OMA
0 - 1
JPN
23%
26%
51%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
IND
0 - 4
JPN
13%
25%
62%
|
91 | 54 | 37 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
JPN
1 - 2
ARG
25%
27%
49%
|
91 | 98 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Kazakhstan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
GRC
3 - 1
KAZ
89%
9%
3%
|
70 | 91 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
KAZ
0 - 1
ALB
47%
24%
28%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
TUR
4 - 0
KAZ
89%
9%
3%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
KAZ
1 - 2
UKR
28%
27%
45%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
KAZ
2 - 3
AZE
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |