Japan vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
6.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
THA
0 - 2
JPN
19%
24%
58%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
JPN
1 - 2
UAE
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2016 |
JPN
1 - 2
BIH
69%
19%
13%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
JPN
7 - 2
BGR
64%
21%
15%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
JPN
5 - 0
SYR
72%
17%
10%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
IRQ
1 - 2
KSA
32%
28%
40%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
AUS
2 - 0
IRQ
71%
19%
11%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
IRQ
1 - 1
PRK
41%
28%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2016 |
QAT
2 - 1
IRQ
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
UZB
2 - 1
IRQ
47%
26%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |