Japan vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
31.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2000 |
JPN
1 - 1
QAT
77%
14%
8%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2000 |
JPN
8 - 1
UZB
72%
16%
12%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2000 |
KSA
1 - 4
JPN
48%
24%
28%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2000 |
JPN
3 - 1
PER
54%
25%
21%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2000 |
JPN
3 - 1
UAE
67%
20%
13%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2000 |
IRN
1 - 0
IRQ
38%
25%
38%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
LBN
2 - 2
IRQ
9%
18%
73%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2000 |
IRQ
2 - 0
THA
69%
18%
13%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
CHN
4 - 1
IRQ
37%
26%
37%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2000 |
IRQ
2 - 0
UZB
77%
15%
8%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |