Japan vs Iran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
KOR
0 - 1
JPN
40%
25%
35%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2005 |
JPN
2 - 2
CHN
68%
19%
13%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
PRK
1 - 0
JPN
9%
17%
74%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2005 |
JPN
2 - 2
BRA
7%
14%
79%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
GRC
0 - 1
JPN
46%
24%
30%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2005 |
IRN
1 - 0
BHR
71%
19%
10%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2005 |
IRN
1 - 0
PRK
71%
19%
10%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
IRN
2 - 1
AZE
76%
17%
8%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2005 |
PRK
0 - 2
IRN
22%
25%
53%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2005 |
IRN
2 - 1
JPN
38%
27%
35%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |