Japan vs Iran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2004 |
THA
1 - 4
JPN
9%
17%
75%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2004 |
JPN
1 - 0
OMA
84%
12%
5%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2004 |
JPN
1 - 0
SCG
85%
11%
4%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2004 |
JPN
3 - 1
SVK
67%
21%
12%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2004 |
JPN
7 - 0
IND
79%
15%
6%
|
91 | 53 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2004 |
OMA
2 - 2
IRN
13%
19%
68%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2004 |
IRN
3 - 0
THA
75%
15%
10%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2004 |
IRN
4 - 1
SYR
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2004 |
IRN
2 - 1
IRQ
55%
24%
21%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2004 |
IRN
7 - 1
SYR
68%
20%
12%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |