Japan vs Iran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1993 |
KSA
0 - 0
JPN
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1993 |
UAE
1 - 1
JPN
42%
27%
32%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1993 |
LKA
0 - 6
JPN
16%
26%
59%
|
74 | 34 | 40 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1993 |
BGD
1 - 4
JPN
19%
27%
54%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1993 |
THA
0 - 1
JPN
38%
27%
36%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1993 |
IRN
0 - 3
KOR
36%
29%
35%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1993 |
SYR
1 - 1
IRN
28%
25%
47%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1993 |
TWN
0 - 6
IRN
4%
20%
76%
|
82 | 38 | 44 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1993 |
OMA
0 - 1
IRN
6%
21%
73%
|
82 | 46 | 36 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1993 |
IRN
1 - 1
SYR
81%
13%
6%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |