Japan vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
18%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1968 |
ESP
0 - 0
JPN
60%
19%
20%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1968 |
BRA
1 - 1
JPN
85%
9%
6%
|
72 | 91 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1968 |
JPN
3 - 1
NGA
77%
13%
10%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1968 |
AUS
1 - 3
JPN
67%
16%
17%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
AUS
3 - 1
JPN
66%
17%
17%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1968 |
FRA
1 - 3
ESP
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1968 |
COL
2 - 1
FRA
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1968 |
FRA
4 - 1
MEX
64%
18%
18%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
FRA
3 - 1
GUI
83%
11%
7%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1968 |
FRA
1 - 1
BRD
38%
24%
38%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |