Japan vs UAE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
10.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
BHR
2 - 3
JPN
20%
26%
54%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
JPN
1 - 3
URU
40%
28%
33%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
JPN
1 - 0
BHR
72%
19%
9%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
THA
0 - 3
JPN
21%
25%
54%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
OMA
1 - 1
JPN
21%
26%
53%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
UAE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
UAE
1 - 2
KSA
33%
28%
39%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
UAE
1 - 2
PRK
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2008 |
UAE
2 - 3
BHR
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
ALG
1 - 0
UAE
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
UAE
1 - 3
SYR
57%
23%
21%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |