Japan vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1995 |
JPN
0 - 0
SCO
28%
29%
44%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1995 |
JPN
2 - 2
KOR
32%
28%
41%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1995 |
JPN
2 - 1
CHN
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1995 |
KOR
1 - 1
JPN
63%
23%
14%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1995 |
HKG
0 - 3
JPN
20%
26%
54%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1995 |
ECU
1 - 2
SCO
30%
29%
40%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1994 |
ECU
0 - 0
PER
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 1994 |
PER
2 - 0
ECU
45%
26%
28%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1994 |
KOR
1 - 2
ECU
61%
25%
15%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1994 |
ECU
1 - 0
ARG
21%
27%
53%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | 0 |