Japan vs Croatia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
42.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2006 |
AUS
3 - 1
JPN
35%
25%
40%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
MLT
0 - 1
JPN
15%
24%
62%
|
90 | 57 | 33 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2006 |
GER
2 - 2
JPN
74%
16%
10%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
JPN
0 - 0
SCO
54%
25%
21%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2006 |
JPN
1 - 2
BGR
53%
26%
21%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2006 |
BRA
1 - 0
CRO
84%
11%
5%
|
92 | 98 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2006 |
CRO
1 - 2
ESP
22%
26%
51%
|
92 | 98 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2006 |
CRO
0 - 1
POL
49%
25%
25%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
CRO
2 - 2
IRN
57%
24%
19%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2006 |
AUT
1 - 4
CRO
37%
27%
35%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | +1 |