Japan vs Croatia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
35.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1998 |
ARG
1 - 0
JPN
77%
15%
8%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1998 |
BOL
1 - 0
JPN
46%
26%
29%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1998 |
JPN
0 - 1
YUG
20%
24%
56%
|
85 | 95 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1998 |
JPN
1 - 2
MEX
40%
26%
33%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1998 |
JPN
0 - 0
CZE
59%
21%
20%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1998 |
JAM
1 - 3
CRO
18%
26%
57%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1998 |
CRO
7 - 0
AUS
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1998 |
CRO
2 - 0
IRN
70%
17%
13%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1998 |
CRO
1 - 2
SVK
78%
14%
8%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1998 |
CRO
4 - 1
POL
58%
21%
21%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |