Japan vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2014 |
JPN
0 - 0
GRC
50%
25%
25%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
CIV
2 - 1
JPN
38%
24%
38%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
JPN
4 - 3
ZAM
76%
17%
8%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2014 |
CRC
1 - 3
JPN
34%
26%
40%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2014 |
JPN
1 - 0
CYP
77%
16%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2014 |
COL
2 - 1
CIV
56%
23%
22%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
COL
3 - 0
GRC
57%
23%
19%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
COL
3 - 0
JOR
79%
16%
6%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
COL
2 - 2
SEN
77%
17%
7%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
COL
1 - 1
TUN
73%
18%
9%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |