Japan vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
34.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2003 |
FRA
2 - 1
JPN
89%
8%
3%
|
89 | 99 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2003 |
NZL
0 - 3
JPN
8%
17%
75%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
JPN
0 - 0
PAR
49%
25%
26%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
JPN
1 - 4
ARG
23%
24%
53%
|
89 | 98 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
JPN
0 - 1
KOR
46%
25%
30%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2003 |
COL
3 - 1
NZL
85%
11%
4%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2003 |
FRA
1 - 0
COL
87%
10%
4%
|
91 | 99 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2003 |
COL
0 - 0
ECU
64%
23%
14%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
COL
0 - 0
HND
58%
23%
19%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
KOR
0 - 0
COL
49%
26%
25%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |