Japan vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
33.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
JPN
2 - 0
SLV
83%
12%
5%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2019 |
JPN
0 - 0
TTO
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
JPN
1 - 0
BOL
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
JPN
0 - 1
COL
45%
26%
29%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2019 |
JPN
1 - 3
QAT
66%
19%
15%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2019 |
ECN
0 - 3
CHI
8%
19%
73%
|
89 | 36 | 53 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
CHI
2 - 1
HTI
87%
9%
3%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
COL
2 - 2
CHI
19%
26%
55%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
USA
1 - 1
CHI
48%
25%
27%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
MEX
3 - 1
CHI
44%
27%
29%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |