Japan vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
24.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
JPN
1 - 0
BHR
69%
21%
10%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
JPN
0 - 0
AUS
50%
27%
23%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
JPN
5 - 1
FIN
63%
24%
14%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
BHR
1 - 0
JPN
8%
16%
76%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2009 |
JPN
2 - 1
YEM
91%
8%
1%
|
91 | 53 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
CHI
0 - 0
URU
41%
26%
33%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2009 |
PER
1 - 3
CHI
36%
29%
36%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
RSA
0 - 2
CHI
27%
30%
44%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2009 |
HND
2 - 0
CHI
41%
29%
31%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
ESP
3 - 0
CHI
74%
18%
7%
|
91 | 100 | 9 | 0 |