Japan vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
41.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
JPN
1 - 3
BGR
36%
25%
40%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1975 |
KOR
3 - 0
JPN
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 1975 |
JPN
2 - 0
MMR
59%
21%
20%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 1975 |
THA
0 - 4
JPN
31%
26%
43%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1975 |
KOR
3 - 1
JPN
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
JPN
1 - 3
BGR
36%
25%
40%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
MLT
0 - 2
BGR
19%
22%
59%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1975 |
BRD
1 - 0
BGR
81%
14%
6%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1975 |
BGR
1 - 1
ESP
75%
16%
9%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1975 |
ESP
2 - 1
BGR
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |