Japan vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2000 |
JPN
1 - 1
SVK
71%
18%
12%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2000 |
JPN
4 - 0
JAM
64%
21%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2000 |
FRA
2 - 2
JPN
81%
14%
5%
|
85 | 99 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2000 |
KOR
1 - 0
JPN
58%
23%
18%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2000 |
JPN
0 - 0
CHN
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2000 |
SVK
2 - 0
BOL
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2000 |
ARG
1 - 0
BOL
78%
16%
6%
|
84 | 96 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2000 |
BOL
1 - 1
COL
35%
28%
37%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2000 |
URU
1 - 0
BOL
67%
21%
12%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2000 |
VEN
0 - 0
BOL
27%
26%
47%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |