Japan vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2009 |
JPN
4 - 0
CHI
49%
27%
24%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
JPN
1 - 0
BHR
69%
21%
10%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
JPN
0 - 0
AUS
50%
27%
23%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
JPN
5 - 1
FIN
63%
24%
14%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
BHR
1 - 0
JPN
8%
16%
76%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2009 |
BEL
1 - 1
CHI
51%
25%
23%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
BIH
2 - 1
BEL
26%
27%
47%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
BEL
2 - 4
BIH
72%
18%
10%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
BEL
2 - 0
SVN
70%
19%
10%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
LUX
1 - 1
BEL
12%
21%
68%
|
90 | 36 | 54 | 0 |