Japan vs Australia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
KSA
0 - 2
JPN
18%
22%
60%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
BHR
0 - 5
JPN
16%
22%
62%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
JPN
7 - 0
CHN
80%
13%
7%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
JPN
5 - 0
SYR
86%
10%
4%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
MMR
0 - 5
JPN
5%
15%
80%
|
90 | 36 | 54 | 0 |
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
AUS
3 - 1
CHN
71%
18%
11%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
IDN
0 - 0
AUS
11%
20%
70%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
AUS
0 - 1
BHR
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
AUS
5 - 0
PLE
85%
11%
4%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
BGD
0 - 2
AUS
4%
15%
82%
|
87 | 36 | 51 | 0 |