Japan vs Australia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
JPN
3 - 3
CHN
64%
21%
16%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
JPN
1 - 2
MEX
30%
25%
45%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2013 |
ITA
4 - 3
JPN
58%
23%
19%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
BRA
3 - 0
JPN
79%
14%
7%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
IRQ
0 - 1
JPN
20%
25%
55%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
KOR
0 - 0
AUS
40%
26%
34%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2013 |
AUS
1 - 0
IRQ
67%
21%
12%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
AUS
4 - 0
JOR
69%
21%
11%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
JPN
1 - 1
AUS
52%
25%
23%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
AUS
2 - 2
OMA
66%
22%
13%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | +1 |