Japan vs Myanmar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
18.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 1976 |
JPN
6 - 0
IDN
67%
18%
15%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1976 |
JPN
5 - 1
IND
69%
17%
14%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
ISR
4 - 1
JPN
70%
17%
13%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1976 |
JPN
0 - 3
ISR
49%
23%
28%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1976 |
KOR
2 - 2
JPN
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Myanmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1976 |
IND
2 - 2
MMR
42%
26%
33%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1976 |
IDN
1 - 5
MMR
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1976 |
MAS
3 - 1
MMR
48%
24%
28%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 1976 |
IDN
1 - 1
MMR
50%
23%
27%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
KOR
1 - 0
MMR
60%
22%
19%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |