Japan vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
12.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1967 |
JPN
4 - 0
TWN
78%
12%
10%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1967 |
JPN
15 - 0
PHL
74%
14%
12%
|
70 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1966 |
JPN
2 - 0
SGP
72%
15%
13%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1966 |
IRN
1 - 0
JPN
51%
21%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1966 |
THA
1 - 5
JPN
37%
21%
41%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1967 |
KOR
2 - 0
LBN
66%
18%
16%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1967 |
LBN
11 - 1
PHL
79%
13%
8%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1966 |
LBY
6 - 1
LBN
67%
16%
16%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1966 |
SYR
1 - 0
LBN
55%
20%
25%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1966 |
LBN
2 - 1
KWT
66%
17%
17%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |