Japan vs Jamaica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
8.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2002 |
JPN
0 - 1
TUR
65%
20%
15%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2002 |
TUN
0 - 2
JPN
17%
23%
60%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2002 |
JPN
1 - 0
RUS
40%
25%
35%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2002 |
JPN
2 - 2
BEL
25%
23%
52%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2002 |
JPN
1 - 1
SWE
36%
27%
37%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Jamaica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
IND
0 - 0
JAM
14%
23%
63%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2002 |
IND
0 - 3
JAM
14%
23%
63%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
LCA
1 - 3
JAM
7%
19%
74%
|
78 | 44 | 34 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2002 |
GRD
0 - 1
JAM
14%
22%
65%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2002 |
NGA
1 - 0
JAM
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |