Japan vs Indonesia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.1%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9%
3.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
IRQ
2 - 1
JPN
13%
20%
67%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
JPN
4 - 2
VNM
89%
8%
3%
|
90 | 65 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
JPN
6 - 1
JOR
86%
10%
4%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2024 |
JPN
5 - 0
THA
86%
10%
4%
|
90 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
SYR
0 - 5
JPN
11%
20%
70%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Indonesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
VNM
0 - 1
IDN
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2024 |
IDN
1 - 3
IRQ
16%
22%
62%
|
54 | 80 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
IDN
0 - 5
IRN
10%
20%
70%
|
55 | 89 | 34 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
IDN
1 - 2
LBY
38%
25%
37%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2024 |
IDN
0 - 4
LBY
42%
25%
33%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -2 |