Japan vs Indonesia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1989 |
JPN
2 - 1
PRK
60%
21%
20%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1989 |
IDN
0 - 0
JPN
40%
27%
34%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1989 |
HKG
0 - 0
JPN
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1989 |
JPN
2 - 0
CHN
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1989 |
JPN
2 - 2
CHN
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Indonesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1989 |
HKG
1 - 1
IDN
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1989 |
IDN
0 - 0
JPN
40%
27%
34%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1989 |
IDN
0 - 0
PRK
34%
26%
40%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1989 |
SGP
1 - 2
IDN
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1988 |
THA
0 - 0
IDN
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |