Japan vs Hong Kong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.3%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
15%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.8%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.6%
3.1%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2019 |
CHN
1 - 2
JPN
25%
25%
51%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
JPN
1 - 4
VEN
62%
21%
17%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
KGZ
0 - 2
JPN
13%
23%
65%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
TJK
0 - 3
JPN
13%
23%
64%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
JPN
6 - 0
MNG
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 28 | 60 | 0 |
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2019 |
KOR
2 - 0
HKG
82%
13%
4%
|
51 | 88 | 37 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
HKG
2 - 0
KHM
74%
16%
10%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
HKG
0 - 0
BHR
13%
20%
68%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
IRQ
2 - 0
HKG
77%
17%
5%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
HKG
0 - 2
IRN
15%
25%
60%
|
51 | 88 | 37 | 0 |