Japan vs Philippines analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
3.37
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
11.3%
8.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
JPN
0 - 3
BGR
36%
25%
40%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1976 |
JPN
1 - 1
BGR
34%
25%
41%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
JPN
1 - 3
BGR
36%
25%
40%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1975 |
KOR
3 - 0
JPN
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 1975 |
JPN
2 - 0
MMR
59%
21%
20%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Philippines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1974 |
MAS
11 - 0
PHL
83%
12%
6%
|
37 | 64 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1974 |
ISR
6 - 0
PHL
79%
12%
9%
|
37 | 75 | 38 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1974 |
JPN
4 - 0
PHL
81%
11%
8%
|
38 | 70 | 32 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1972 |
PHL
0 - 6
AUS
31%
21%
48%
|
38 | 77 | 39 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1972 |
KHM
1 - 0
PHL
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |