Japan vs Philippines analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.7%
11.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1966 |
JPN
2 - 0
SGP
72%
15%
13%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1966 |
IRN
1 - 0
JPN
51%
21%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1966 |
THA
1 - 5
JPN
37%
21%
41%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1966 |
SGP
1 - 5
JPN
45%
21%
34%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1966 |
JPN
1 - 0
MAS
71%
15%
14%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Philippines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
VIE
6 - 0
PHL
79%
13%
9%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1962 |
SGP
5 - 0
PHL
76%
14%
11%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1962 |
PHL
0 - 9
IDN
39%
21%
40%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1962 |
IDN
6 - 0
PHL
73%
14%
13%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1962 |
VIE
6 - 0
PHL
77%
13%
10%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |