Japan vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
30.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1995 |
JPN
2 - 2
SWE
21%
27%
53%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1995 |
BRA
3 - 0
JPN
85%
11%
4%
|
78 | 97 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1995 |
ENG
2 - 1
JPN
77%
17%
7%
|
78 | 95 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
JPN
3 - 0
ECU
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1995 |
JPN
0 - 0
SCO
28%
29%
44%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1995 |
ECU
2 - 1
CRC
44%
27%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1995 |
CRC
0 - 1
KOR
36%
28%
36%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
USA
1 - 2
CRC
43%
28%
30%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1994 |
KSA
1 - 3
CRC
50%
26%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 1994 |
ITA
1 - 0
CRC
70%
20%
10%
|
82 | 96 | 14 | 0 |