Japan vs Korea DPR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
BEL
1 - 0
JPN
67%
19%
14%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
JPN
1 - 3
BRA
14%
19%
67%
|
87 | 97 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
JPN
3 - 3
HTI
83%
13%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
JPN
2 - 1
NZL
84%
12%
4%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
KSA
1 - 0
JPN
20%
25%
56%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Korea DPR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2017 |
MAS
1 - 4
PRK
10%
20%
70%
|
73 | 44 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
PRK
4 - 1
MAS
78%
16%
7%
|
72 | 44 | 28 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
LBN
5 - 0
PRK
23%
25%
51%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
PRK
2 - 2
LBN
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2017 |
THA
3 - 0
PRK
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |