Japan vs Korea DPR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.2%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
7%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
JPN
3 - 0
KOR
46%
27%
28%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
JPN
0 - 0
CZE
40%
28%
32%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
JPN
0 - 0
PER
63%
22%
15%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
AUS
0 - 1
JPN
35%
26%
40%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
JPN
2 - 2
KOR
46%
25%
29%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Korea DPR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
KWT
0 - 0
PRK
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2011 |
CHN
2 - 0
PRK
67%
21%
12%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2011 |
PRK
2 - 0
AFG
80%
14%
6%
|
75 | 44 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
NPL
0 - 1
PRK
20%
25%
55%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
PRK
4 - 0
LKA
74%
17%
9%
|
75 | 42 | 33 | 0 |