Japan vs China analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
JPN
5 - 0
SYR
86%
10%
4%
|
90 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
MMR
0 - 5
JPN
5%
15%
80%
|
90 | 36 | 54 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
PRK
0 - 3
JPN
9%
19%
71%
|
90 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
JPN
1 - 0
PRK
86%
10%
4%
|
90 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
IRN
2 - 1
JPN
41%
24%
35%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
KOR
1 - 0
CHN
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
CHN
1 - 1
THA
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
CHN
4 - 1
SGP
81%
14%
5%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
SGP
2 - 2
CHN
11%
19%
71%
|
78 | 47 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
QAT
1 - 0
CHN
54%
23%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |