Japan vs China analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
JPN
6 - 0
HKG
92%
7%
1%
|
88 | 48 | 40 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
JPN
0 - 3
TUN
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
JPN
4 - 1
GHA
78%
15%
8%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
JPN
0 - 1
BRA
6%
16%
78%
|
88 | 98 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
JPN
4 - 1
PRY
68%
19%
13%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
CHN
0 - 3
KOR
20%
23%
57%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
CHN
1 - 1
AUS
26%
25%
49%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
CHN
1 - 1
OMN
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
SAU
3 - 2
CHN
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
CHN
3 - 2
VNM
70%
19%
12%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |