Japan vs China analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
JPN
1 - 2
MEX
30%
25%
45%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2013 |
ITA
4 - 3
JPN
58%
23%
19%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
BRA
3 - 0
JPN
79%
14%
7%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
IRQ
0 - 1
JPN
20%
25%
55%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
JPN
1 - 1
AUS
52%
25%
23%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
CHN
1 - 5
THA
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
CHN
0 - 2
NED
10%
18%
73%
|
84 | 96 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2013 |
CHN
1 - 2
UZB
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
CHN
1 - 0
IRQ
50%
24%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
KSA
2 - 1
CHN
34%
27%
39%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |