Japan vs China analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
PRK
1 - 0
JPN
9%
17%
74%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2005 |
JPN
2 - 2
BRA
7%
14%
79%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
GRC
0 - 1
JPN
46%
24%
30%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2005 |
JPN
1 - 2
MEX
32%
25%
43%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2005 |
PRK
0 - 2
JPN
20%
26%
54%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
KOR
1 - 1
CHN
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2005 |
CHN
2 - 0
CRC
48%
26%
27%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
CHN
2 - 2
CRC
48%
26%
27%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2005 |
IRL
1 - 0
CHN
68%
21%
11%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
ESP
3 - 0
CHN
80%
14%
6%
|
85 | 99 | 14 | 0 |