Japan vs China analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1998 |
JPN
2 - 1
KOR
44%
25%
32%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1998 |
AUS
0 - 3
JPN
51%
26%
23%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1997 |
IRN
2 - 3
JPN
46%
27%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1997 |
JPN
5 - 1
KAZ
86%
9%
5%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1997 |
KOR
0 - 2
JPN
58%
24%
19%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1998 |
KOR
2 - 1
CHN
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1997 |
CHN
1 - 0
KWT
60%
22%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1997 |
KSA
1 - 1
CHN
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1997 |
CHN
2 - 3
QAT
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1997 |
IRN
4 - 1
CHN
55%
25%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |